⚾ MLB The Show 25 & 26

Know Where They'll Pitch — Before They Do

PitchGuessr tracks your opponent's pitching patterns in real-time and builds a live prediction heatmap that gets smarter every pitch. See exactly where they go at each count and matchup — and stop guessing at the plate.

📱 Coming March 2026

Free to start · Pro from $4.99/mo · No account required

PitchGuessr App Icon
25
Pitch Tracking Zones
2
Prediction Models
12
Count Situations (0-0 → 3-2)
100%
On-Device — No Server

What You Get

Everything you need to read your opponent's pitching tendencies and step into the box with a real edge.

🔥

Live Prediction Heatmap

Zone probabilities update after every pitch logged. Darker zones mean higher likelihood. At a glance, you'll know exactly where the ball is most likely to go before the pitch leaves their hand.

🧠

Two Prediction Models — Both Free

Standard mode filters by exact count and handedness ("what do they throw at 2-2 vs a lefty?"). Matchup mode uses all pitches by handedness — best early before count data builds up. Tap the model name in the status bar to switch instantly during a game.

Pitch Sequence Overlay

See your opponent's exact pitch-by-pitch sequence overlaid on the strike zone. Color-coded by at-bat. Current at-bat in solid blue, previous at-bats in hatched circles. Spot repeat sequences instantly.

📊

Count & Matchup Filtering

Predictions automatically filter by the exact current count and batter handedness. Switch hitters resolved to the correct hand based on pitcher. No manual setup — it just works as you play.

📱

iPhone & iPad Optimized

Portrait and landscape layouts both fully supported. Tap ⤢ or pinch out past max size to enter full screen mode — the strike zone fills your entire display with floating Status and Config sheets. Pinch to resize the grid between 0.7× and 1.2×.

🔒

Privacy First — No Account

All opponent data lives on your device. No login, no cloud account, no data sent anywhere. Optional iCloud sync (Pro) uses your own Apple account. We never see your data. Period.

How It Works

Up and running in under a minute. Useful from the very first pitch.

1

Create Your Opponent

Add any online opponent with a name and their pitcher's handedness. Optionally configure your batter lineup — enter each batter's position and handedness (or switch hitter) once, and PitchGuessr handles the matchup math automatically every time you face them. Setup takes about 30 seconds.

2

Log Every Pitch in Real Time

As you play, tap the zone on the 5×5 grid where each pitch was thrown — 9 strike zones and 16 ball zones cover the entire plate area. Select the outcome (Ball, Strike, Foul, Hit, Out, etc.) and the count auto-advances. Long press a zone for quick actions: intentional walk, skip batter, or log a missed location without a zone.

3

Read the Heatmap — Step In Knowing

PitchGuessr builds a live prediction model as data accumulates. Confidence climbs from Very Low → Low → Medium → High as pitches are logged. The zones with the most heat are where your opponent goes most often at the current count. When the app suggests switching to Standard mode, you have enough count-specific data to get even more precise predictions.

Screenshots

App Store screenshots coming before launch in March 2026.

🔥
Live Heatmap

Zone predictions update every pitch

Pitch Sequence

At-bat history overlaid on the zone

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Opponent List

All opponents with pitch history

How Predictions Work

Two models, one goal: tell you where the ball is going before the pitcher releases it.

Key Numbers

Zones Tracked 25 9 strike + 16 ball
Standard Mode Unlocks 5+ pitches at any count
Confidence Levels 4 Very Low → High
Smoothing Method Bayesian accurate at low sample sizes
Raw Mode Pro exact unsmoothed %

At game start you have zero data — Matchup mode gives you handedness-based predictions immediately. As counts accumulate data, Standard mode gives you count-specific predictions like "they throw low-outside 60% of the time at 0-2." Tap the model name in the status bar to switch anytime. Bayesian smoothing ensures early predictions don't wildly overfit to a single pitch. Pro users can toggle to Raw mode to see exact unsmoothed percentages.

The Two Models

Standard

Standard Mode

Filters to pitches at the exact current count and handedness matchup — "what do they throw at 1-2 vs a lefty?" Most precise predictions. Best once you have count-specific data. Available Free and Pro. Tap the model name in-game to switch.

Matchup

Matchup Mode

Uses all pitches thrown to the current handedness combination (e.g., all LHH vs RHP), ignoring count. Best at game start when count-specific data is sparse. Available Free and Pro.

Coming v1.1

Weighted Recent

Last 3 at-bats count 3× vs older history. Useful mid-series when your opponent starts adjusting — recent behavior outweighs their long-term tendencies. Coming in a future update.

Why It Matters

Online opponents are creatures of habit — even when they think they're not.

📈

Patterns Emerge Fast

Most MLB The Show players have tendencies they don't even notice — going fastball on 0-0, low-away on 2-strike counts. PitchGuessr surfaces these patterns after just 10–15 pitches.

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Count Changes Everything

An opponent who loves zone 6 overall might almost never go there at 2-0. Standard mode tells you what they actually do at the exact count you're in — not just their average behavior.

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Adjustments Happen Mid-Game

If your opponent figures out you're sitting on their go-to pitch, they'll adjust. Weighted Recent mode detects this shift — it down-weights old data and amplifies what they're doing right now.

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The Sequence Tells a Story

Pitch sequence mode shows you their setup-to-putaway progression at-bat by at-bat. Spot that they always go high-tight after two balls away and you'll be ready for it when it matters most.

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Handedness Changes the Picture

Most pitchers throw differently to lefties vs righties. PitchGuessr tracks both matchups independently and auto-resolves switch hitters — so you're never looking at the wrong data set.

Carry History Across Games

Data persists between sessions. Play the same opponent in a rematch and start with all their historical tendencies already loaded. The longer the rivalry, the sharper the predictions.

Coming Soon

PitchGuessr v1.0 launches March 2026 with the core prediction engine. Here's what's in the pipeline after launch.

v1.1 — Q2 2026

  • 📐
    Adaptive Layout & Customizable Panels — moveable, resizable panels in landscape mode. Arrange your strike zone, stats, and controls exactly how you want them.
  • ✏️
    Advanced Pitch Editing (Pro) — edit any logged pitch with smart cascade updates. Changing a zone or outcome auto-corrects dependent counts throughout the session.
  • 📊
    Advanced Analytics Dashboard (Pro) — in-game stats viewer and post-game analysis charts with zone splits, count breakdowns, and session-over-session trends.
  • 🕐
    Weighted Recent Model — last 3 at-bats count 3× vs older history. Detects mid-series adjustments automatically.
  • 💬
    Opponent Notes & Tags (Pro) — add private scouting notes, flag tendencies, and mark suspected bots for quick reference.
  • ↔️
    Horizontal Zone Splits — Left / Center / Right % breakdown so you can see at a glance whether your opponent works in or works away.
  • 📈
    In%/Out% Trend Indicator — shows whether your opponent is pounding the zone more or less than their session average, with an up/down/flat arrow (↑↓→) at a glance.

v1.2+ — May 2026 & Beyond

  • Lineup Position Models — top, middle, and bottom of the order tend to see different pitch mixes. Predictions tuned by lineup slot.
  • 🤖
    Additional Preset Models — 5+ curated prediction models tuned for specific play styles and game situations.
  • 📋
    Count-Situational Strike Rate Panel (Pro) — a quick-reference table showing your opponent's zone % for every count situation, so you can size up their tendencies without drilling into the heatmap for each count.
  • 🔍
    Cluster Detection — automatically surface hidden pitch patterns like "they go sinker every time after a ball high."
  • 📅
    Multi-Session Trends — analyze how an opponent evolves across multiple games and sessions over time.
  • ✏️
    Inter-Zone Pitch Logging — log pitches on zone boundaries to capture split-zone locations more accurately.
  • 🌐
    Web Companion (Exploring) — we're investigating a web-based companion where Pro subscribers could view full opponent histories, pitch breakdowns, and session stats from any browser — no phone required. This is on our radar for later this year or early 2027, and could also open the door to tracking pitches directly on the web during a game. Stay tuned.

Free to Start — Pro When You're Ready

Start tracking immediately with no account. Upgrade to Pro when your opponent list grows and you want the full toolkit.

Free
$0

No credit card · No account

  • Full heatmap & predictions
  • Track up to 9 at-bats per game
  • Both prediction models (Standard & Matchup)
  • Pitch sequence overlay
  • Count & matchup filtering
  • Full screen zone mode & pinch to resize
  • Smooth predictions (Bayesian — stable early)
  • Save opponents & revisit across games
  • Raw mode (exact % no smoothing)
  • Unlimited at-bats per game
  • iCloud sync across devices (v1.1)
Pro
Pro
$4.99 / month

or $39.99/year · Save 33% vs monthly

  • Everything in Free
  • Unlimited at-bats per game
  • Raw mode — exact unsmoothed percentages
  • iCloud sync across all your devices (v1.1)
  • Weighted Recent model (v1.1)
  • Advanced pitch editing (v1.1)
  • Advanced analytics dashboard (v1.1)
  • Opponent notes & tags (v1.1)
  • All future Pro features included

Frequently Asked Questions

PitchGuessr

PitchGuessr

MLB The Show Pitch Prediction

Free
$0
9 at-bats per game
Pro Monthly
$4.99
per month
Pro Annual ⭐
$39.99
per year · save 33% vs monthly

iPhone & iPad · iOS 17+ · No account required

📱 Coming to App Store · March 2026

Want to be notified at launch?
support@retroghostlabs.com